── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Daniel Altmaier
83%17%
Hard: 89% / 11%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#103
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
GER
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Daniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-7(7) 6-3 6-4 2-0 RET |
| 2025-02-03 | Rotterdam | Hard | QF | Alex De Minaur | 6-1 6-4 |