── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Alex Molcan
76%24%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 83% / 17%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Alex Molcan
36th · below avg
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Alex Molcan
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#69
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
SVK
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Alex Molcan
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Shanghai | Hard | R64 | Alex De Minaur | W/O |
| 2022-05-16 | Lyon | Clay | SF | Alex Molcan | 7-6(2) 6-2 |