── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 95% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Mikael Ymer
95%5%
Hard: 94% / 6%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Mikael Ymer
3th · poor
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Mikael Ymer
77th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#185
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
SWE
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Mikael Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-31 | Davis Cup QLS R1: AUS vs SWE | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 7-5 6-1 |