── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
80%20%
Hard: 92% / 8%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 97% / 3%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#82
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ARG
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-2 |