── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 91% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Jurij Rodionov
91%9%
Hard: 90% / 10%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 90% / 10%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Jurij Rodionov
14th · poor
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Jurij Rodionov
17th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#155
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
AUT
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Jurij Rodionov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2021-06-07 | Stuttgart | Grass | QF | Jurij Rodionov | 3-6 6-3 7-6(4) |