── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Bu Yunchaokete
80%20%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Bu Yunchaokete
53th · average
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Bu Yunchaokete
27th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#78
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
CHN
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Bu Yunchaokete
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-0 |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 |