── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex De Minaur 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex De Minaur
Francisco Comesana
84%16%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 89% / 11%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Francisco Comesana
46th · average
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Francisco Comesana
39th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#8
model rank
#108
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ARG
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alex De MinaurFrancisco Comesana
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR64Alex De Minaur6-4 6-2