── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Tomas Machac
68%32%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#35
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
CZE
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 3-6 6-0 6-3 |