── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Flavio Cobolli
68%32%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ITA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Flavio Cobolli | 7-5 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2024-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(2) 3-1 RET |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 6-3 6-1 |