── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 93% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Shintaro Mochizuki
93%7%
Hard: 94% / 6%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#174
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
JPN
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Alex De Minaur | 6-2 6-4 6-2 |