── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Mariano Navone
71%29%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 95% / 5%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Mariano Navone
33th · below avg
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#50
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ARG
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(4) 6-2 |
| 2024-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Alex De Minaur | 7-5 6-1 |