── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex De Minaur 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex De Minaur
Roman Andres Burruchaga
82%18%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 93% / 7%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Roman Andres Burruchaga
13th · poor
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Roman Andres Burruchaga
82th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#10
model rank
#103
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ARG
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alex De Minaur■ Roman Andres Burruchaga
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-30WimbledonGrassR128Alex De Minaur7-6(5) 6-1 6-0