── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex De Minaur 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex De Minaur
Arthur Cazaux
75%25%
Hard: 77% / 23%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 83% / 17%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Arthur Cazaux
74th · strong
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Arthur Cazaux
48th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#10
model rank
#65
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Alex De Minaur■ Arthur Cazaux
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR64Alex De Minaur4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0