── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Arthur Cazaux
77%23%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Arthur Cazaux
72th · strong
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Arthur Cazaux
53th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#61
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Arthur Cazaux
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Alex De Minaur | 4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0 |