── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex De Minaur 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex De Minaur
Hamad Medjedovic
71%29%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Hamad Medjedovic
73th · strong
Return
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Hamad Medjedovic
55th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#8
model rank
#43
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
SRB
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alex De MinaurHamad Medjedovic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR16Hamad Medjedovic6-3 6-4
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR64Alex De Minaur6-7(5) 6-2 6-2 6-1