── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Arthur Fery
69%31%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Arthur Fery
32th · below avg
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Arthur Fery
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#46
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
GBR
183cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Arthur Fery
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 7-5 7-6(3) |