── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex De Minaur
Jakub Mensik
57%43%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Jakub Mensik
87th · strong
Return
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Jakub Mensik
70th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#10
model rank
#18
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
CZE
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex De Minaur■ Jakub Mensik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard5–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Jakub Mensik | 0-6 6-2 6-2 6-3 |
| 2026-01-05 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | QF | Alex De Minaur | 4-1 RET |
| 2025-09-19 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | QF | Alex De Minaur | 6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 |