── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Martin Damm 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pavel Kotov
Martin Damm
38%62%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pavel Kotov
38th · below avg
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Return
Pavel Kotov
6th · poor
Martin Damm
5th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#140
model rank
#88
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
RUS
country
USA
191cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pavel Kotov■ Martin Damm
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | Q1 | Pavel Kotov | 7-6(4) 6-7(4) 6-3 |