── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pavel Kotov 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pavel Kotov
Daniel Elahi Galan
61%39%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 35% / 65%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pavel Kotov
38th · below avg
Daniel Elahi Galan
17th · poor
Return
Pavel Kotov
6th · poor
Daniel Elahi Galan
13th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#140
model rank
#178
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
COL
191cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Pavel Kotov■ Daniel Elahi Galan
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-27Bonn CHClayR32Daniel Elahi Galan6-4 6-4
2023-09-20ChengduHardR32Pavel Kotov7-5 7-5