── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pavel Kotov a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pavel Kotov
Aleksandar Vukic
51%49%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pavel Kotov
38th · below avg
Aleksandar Vukic
35th · below avg
Return
Pavel Kotov
6th · poor
Aleksandar Vukic
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#140
model rank
#144
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
AUS
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pavel Kotov■ Aleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | Q2 | Pavel Kotov | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2019-08-19 | L'Aquila CH | Clay | R16 | Aleksandar Vukic | 6-4 6-3 |