── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tallon Griekspoor 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pavel Kotov
Tallon Griekspoor
34%66%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 17% / 83%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pavel Kotov
38th · below avg
Tallon Griekspoor
83th · strong
Return
Pavel Kotov
6th · poor
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#140
model rank
#70
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
NED
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pavel Kotov■ Tallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
Clay2–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Shanghai | Hard | R128 | Pavel Kotov | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2024-10-14 | Stockholm | Hard | R32 | Tallon Griekspoor | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-10-16 | Stockholm | Hard | QF | Pavel Kotov | 7-6(4) 6-2 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Tallon Griekspoor | 6-3 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2022-04-04 | Marrakech | Clay | R32 | Pavel Kotov | 0-6 6-2 6-2 |
| 2019-04-22 | Francavilla Al Mare CH | Clay | R32 | Pavel Kotov | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4 |

