── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Stan Wawrinka a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hugo Gaston
Stan Wawrinka
44%56%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 21% / 79%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hugo Gaston
6th · poor
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Hugo Gaston
48th · average
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#138
model rank
#116
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
SUI
173cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hugo Gaston■ Stan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-08 | Rennes CH | Hard | F | Hugo Gaston | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Hugo Gaston | 2-6 6-3 6-3 4-6 6-0 |

