── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hugo Gaston 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hugo Gaston
Pierre Hugues Herbert
57%43%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 32% / 68%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hugo Gaston
6th · poor
Pierre Hugues Herbert
26th · below avg
Return
Hugo Gaston
48th · average
Pierre Hugues Herbert
5th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#138
model rank
#157
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
FRA
173cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Hugo GastonPierre Hugues Herbert
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23St. Brieuc CHHardSFPierre Hugues Herbert7-5 6-2
2024-02-05MarseilleHardQ2Hugo Gaston3-6 6-2 6-3