── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Hugo Gaston 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hugo Gaston
Damir Dzumhur
59%41%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 52% / 48%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hugo Gaston
9th · poor
Damir Dzumhur
6th · poor
Return
Hugo Gaston
61th · average
Damir Dzumhur
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#110
model rank
#149
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
BIH
173cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hugo Gaston■ Damir Dzumhur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Estoril | Clay | R32 | Hugo Gaston | 5-0 RET |
| 2025-07-14 | Bastad | Clay | R16 | Damir Dzumhur | 4-6 6-2 6-2 |