── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Hugo Gaston a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hugo Gaston
Roberto Carballes Baena
54%46%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hugo Gaston
6th · poor
Roberto Carballes Baena
22th · below avg
Return
Hugo Gaston
48th · average
Roberto Carballes Baena
58th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#138
model rank
#147
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
173cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hugo Gaston■ Roberto Carballes Baena
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Roberto Carballes Baena | 6-4 5-7 6-3 |
| 2024-07-22 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | R16 | Hugo Gaston | 6-2 7-6(5) |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Hugo Gaston | 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-4 |
| 2023-09-04 | Seville CH | Clay | SF | Roberto Carballes Baena | 6-7(2) 7-6(7) 6-1 |