── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hugo Gaston 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hugo Gaston
Sho Shimabukuro
62%38%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hugo Gaston
9th · poor
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Return
Hugo Gaston
61th · average
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#111
model rank
#155
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
JPN
173cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Hugo Gaston■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-24HangzhouHardR32Hugo Gaston6-4 6-4
2023-08-28Us OpenHardR128Hugo Gaston6-2 6-1 7-6(4)