── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Facundo Diaz Acosta 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hugo Gaston
Facundo Diaz Acosta
42%58%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 28% / 72%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hugo Gaston
9th · poor
Facundo Diaz Acosta
48th · average
Return
Hugo Gaston
61th · average
Facundo Diaz Acosta
70th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#111
model rank
#78
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Left
FRA
country
ARG
173cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hugo Gaston■ Facundo Diaz Acosta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–1
Hard0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Braunschweig CH | Clay | SF | Hugo Gaston | 5-7 7-6(4) 7-5 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 6-1 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-07-22 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | SF | Hugo Gaston | 6-1 2-0 RET |
| 2024-07-15 | Hamburg | Clay | R32 | Hugo Gaston | 7-6(4) 1-6 6-4 |
| 2023-03-06 | Santiago CH | Clay | R16 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 7-5 6-3 |