── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Hugo Gaston 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Hugo Gaston
Shintaro Mochizuki
64%36%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 20% / 80%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Hugo Gaston
6th · poor
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Hugo Gaston
48th · average
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#138
model rank
#174
Hard
best surface
Grass
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
JPN
173cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Hugo Gaston■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Grass1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 6-4 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q1 | Hugo Gaston | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | Q1 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 1-6 6-2 6-4 |