── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Adam Walton 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adam Walton
Adrian Mannarino
61%39%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 15% / 85%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adam Walton
47th · average
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Adam Walton
35th · below avg
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#90
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Adam WaltonAdrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardR32Adrian Mannarino6-4 6-2
2025-02-24AcapulcoHardQ1Adam Walton6-4 6-0