── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Adam Walton 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adam Walton
Bernard Tomic
65%35%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adam Walton
44th · average
Bernard Tomic
11th · poor
Return
Adam Walton
52th · average
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#118
model rank
#173
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adam Walton■ Bernard Tomic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Newport CH | Grass | R16 | Adam Walton | 6-4 4-6 6-2 |
| 2025-01-27 | Brisbane 1 CH | Hard | QF | Adam Walton | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2023-10-02 | Tiburon CH | Hard | QF | Adam Walton | 6-4 6-4 |