── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Adam Walton 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adam Walton
Alex Bolt
64%36%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adam Walton
42th · average
Alex Bolt
29th · below avg
Return
Adam Walton
53th · average
Alex Bolt
2th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#119
model rank
#172
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adam Walton■ Alex Bolt
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–3
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Jiujiang CH | Hard | SF | Adam Walton | 6-2 3-6 7-6(5) |
| 2024-09-24 | Nonthaburi 4 CH | Hard | R16 | Adam Walton | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2024-05-06 | Wuxi CH | Hard | R16 | Adam Walton | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2024-04-29 | Guangzhou CH | Hard | R16 | Adam Walton | 7-6(0) 6-1 |
| 2024-01-29 | Burnie CH | Hard | R16 | Alex Bolt | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-02-20 | M25 Santo Domingo | Hard | F | Alex Bolt | 4-6 6-1 7-6(5) |
| 2022-10-03 | M25 Cairns | Hard | SF | Alex Bolt | 6-3 5-7 6-4 |