── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Adam Walton a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adam Walton
Jason Kubler
56%44%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adam Walton
42th · average
Jason Kubler
47th · average
Return
Adam Walton
53th · average
Jason Kubler
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#119
model rank
#143
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adam Walton■ Jason Kubler
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-21 | Gwangju CH | Hard | R16 | Jason Kubler | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2025-04-14 | Busan CH | Hard | SF | Adam Walton | 7-6(6) 6-7(3) 7-5 |
| 2025-02-03 | Brisbane 2 CH | Hard | F | Adam Walton | 7-6(6) 7-6(4) |