── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adam Walton
Daniil Medvedev
15%85%
Hard: 11% / 89%
Clay: 5% / 95%
Grass: 26% / 74%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adam Walton
44th · average
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Return
Adam Walton
52th · average
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#118
model rank
#8
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
RUS
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adam Walton■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Adam Walton | 6-2 1-6 6-1 1-6 6-4 |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Adam Walton | 6-2 1-6 6-1 1-6 6-4 |
| 2025-10-13 | Almaty | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 7-5 7-6(0) |
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Adam Walton | 6-7(0) 6-4 6-1 |