── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Adam Walton 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adam Walton
Mackenzie Mcdonald
61%39%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 59% / 41%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adam Walton
44th · average
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Return
Adam Walton
52th · average
Mackenzie Mcdonald
41th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#118
model rank
#158
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Adam Walton■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-06Newport CHGrassR32Adam Walton6-1 6-3
2024-10-21Taipei 2 CHHardQFAdam Walton6-1 7-6(0)
2024-10-14Shenzhen Longhua CHHardSFMackenzie Mcdonald6-3 6-4