── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Adam Walton 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adam Walton
Nicolas Jarry
60%40%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 13% / 87%
Grass: 20% / 80%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adam Walton
47th · average
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Adam Walton
35th · below avg
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#90
model rank
#126
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
CHI
183cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adam Walton■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Cap Cana CH | Hard | R32 | Adam Walton | 7-6(5) 6-1 |