── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adam Walton
Sebastian Baez
43%57%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 10% / 90%
Grass: 78% / 22%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adam Walton
42th · average
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Adam Walton
53th · average
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#119
model rank
#89
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ARG
183cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adam Walton■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Adam Walton | 6-2 6-2 |