── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Adam Walton 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adam Walton
Rinky Hijikata
57%43%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 24% / 76%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adam Walton
47th · average
Rinky Hijikata
12th · poor
Return
Adam Walton
35th · below avg
Rinky Hijikata
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#90
model rank
#112
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Adam WaltonRinky Hijikata
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard31
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardQ2Adam Walton6-3 6-7(2) 6-1
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardR32Rinky Hijikata6-3 6-2
2025-01-06AdelaideHardQ2Adam Walton1-6 7-6(4) 6-4
2023-08-07Cary CHHardQFAdam Walton6-2 6-4