── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adam Walton
Alex Michelsen
22%78%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adam Walton
44th · average
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Adam Walton
52th · average
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#118
model rank
#24
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adam Walton■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Newport CH | Grass | SF | Adam Walton | 7-6(2) 6-4 |