── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Learner Tien 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adam Walton
Learner Tien
24%76%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 11% / 89%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adam Walton
47th · average
Learner Tien
68th · average
Return
Adam Walton
35th · below avg
Learner Tien
91th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#90
model rank
#17
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
USA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Adam WaltonLearner Tien
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Learner Tien7-6(3) 7-6(8)
2025-02-10Delray BeachHardR32Learner Tien6-4 6-3
2023-10-02Tiburon CHHardR16Adam Walton6-2 6-4