── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Learner Tien 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adam Walton
Learner Tien
21%79%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 10% / 90%
Grass: 62% / 38%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adam Walton
42th · average
Learner Tien
63th · average
Return
Adam Walton
53th · average
Learner Tien
95th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#119
model rank
#22
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
USA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Adam Walton■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–2
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Learner Tien7-6(3) 7-6(8)
2025-02-10Delray BeachHardR32Learner Tien6-4 6-3
2023-10-02Tiburon CHHardR16Adam Walton6-2 6-4