── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Valentin Vacherot 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Valentin Vacherot
Martin Damm
73%27%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Martin Damm
82th · strong
Return
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average
Martin Damm
2th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#29
model rank
#109
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
MON
country
USA
193cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Valentin VacherotMartin Damm
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Valentin Vacherot6-4 6-4 6-4