── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Valentin Vacherot
Novak Djokovic
18%82%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 13% / 87%
Grass: 1% / 99%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Return
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#29
model rank
#3
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
MON
country
SRB
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Valentin Vacherot■ Novak Djokovic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | SF | Valentin Vacherot | 6-3 6-4 |