── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Valentin Vacherot 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Valentin Vacherot
Thanasi Kokkinakis
82%18%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Return
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg
Thanasi Kokkinakis
48th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#32
model rank
#164
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
MON
country
AUS
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Valentin Vacherot■ Thanasi Kokkinakis
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AdelaideHardR16Valentin VacherotW/O