── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Valentin Vacherot a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Valentin Vacherot
Cameron Norrie
54%46%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 11% / 89%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Cameron Norrie
66th · average
Return
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg
Cameron Norrie
77th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#32
model rank
#38
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
MON
country
GBR
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Valentin Vacherot■ Cameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR16Valentin Vacherot7-6(4) 6-4