── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Valentin Vacherot
Alexander Bublik
46%54%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 5% / 95%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Alexander Bublik
88th · strong
Return
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average
Alexander Bublik
51th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#29
model rank
#24
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
MON
country
KAZ
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Valentin Vacherot■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Davis Cup WG1 PO: KAZ vs MON | Hard | RR | Valentin Vacherot | 7-6(4) 7-6(7) |
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Valentin Vacherot | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |