── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Valentin Vacherot a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Valentin Vacherot
Matteo Berrettini
55%45%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 3% / 97%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Matteo Berrettini
93th · elite
Return
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average
Matteo Berrettini
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#29
model rank
#38
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
MON
country
ITA
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Valentin Vacherot■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Valentin Vacherot | 7-6(5) 6-4 |