── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Valentin Vacherot
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47%53%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 18% / 82%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg
Stefanos Tsitsipas
47th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#32
model rank
#29
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
MON
country
GRE
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Valentin Vacherot■ Stefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-02TokyoHardR16Valentin Vacherot4-6 7-6(5) 6-4