── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Valentin Vacherot
Lorenzo Musetti
40%60%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 8% / 92%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Lorenzo Musetti
76th · strong
Return
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#17
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
MON
country
ITA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Valentin Vacherot■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Valentin Vacherot | 7-6(6) 7-5 |