── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Musetti 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Valentin Vacherot
Lorenzo Musetti
39%61%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 7% / 93%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Lorenzo Musetti
77th · strong
Return
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average
Lorenzo Musetti
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#29
model rank
#12
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
MON
country
ITA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Valentin Vacherot■ Lorenzo Musetti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Valentin Vacherot | 7-6(6) 7-5 |