── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Valentin Vacherot 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Valentin Vacherot
Holger Rune
75%25%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 12% / 88%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Return
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg
Holger Rune
77th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#127
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
MON
country
DEN
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Valentin Vacherot■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | QF | Valentin Vacherot | 2-6 7-6(4) 6-4 |