── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Valentin Vacherot 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Valentin Vacherot
Mariano Navone
57%43%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Mariano Navone
33th · below avg
Return
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg
Mariano Navone
96th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#32
model rank
#50
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
MON
country
ARG
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Valentin Vacherot■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-05Canada MastersHardR64Mariano Navone1-6 6-3 6-3
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Valentin Vacherot6-3 6-4