── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Valentin Vacherot 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Valentin Vacherot
Raphael Collignon
58%42%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 19% / 81%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Raphael Collignon
74th · strong
Return
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg
Raphael Collignon
50th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#55
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
MON
country
BEL
193cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Valentin Vacherot■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Gstaad | Clay | QF | Raphael Collignon | 7-6(7) 4-6 7-5 |
| 2023-01-09 | Oeiras 2 CH | Hard | R32 | Raphael Collignon | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2022-01-17 | M15 Monastir | Hard | F | Valentin Vacherot | 6-3 6-4 |