── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Valentin Vacherot
Arthur Fils
27%73%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 17% / 83%
Grass: 9% / 91%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Arthur Fils
93th · elite
Return
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg
Arthur Fils
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#32
model rank
#6
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
MON
country
FRA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Valentin Vacherot■ Arthur Fils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Tokyo | Hard | QF | Valentin Vacherot | 7-5 4-6 6-4 |
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R16 | Arthur Fils | 6-4 6-7(4) 6-4 |